Fed's Two-Day Meeting Began Today, Rate Hike Probability Rose to 86%
The Fed's two-day FOMC meeting, concluding with the decision on September 16, began on Tuesday. According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike rose from its pre-data levels to 86%.
Gold Recovers to Move Back Above $4,300
Gold (XAU/USD), which fell on Monday to around $4,285, its lowest level since August, and neared six-week lows, recovered in the Asian session on Tuesday morning to move back above the $4,300 level, into the roughly $4,298-4,304 range.
Oil Extends Gains on Hormuz Disruption: WTI at $102.81, Brent at $107.70
Crude oil continued to rise on Tuesday as the supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and the outage at Saudi Arabia's East-West Oil Pipeline, which it shut down after the attacks, persisted: WTI rose to $102.81 and Brent to $107.70.
Dollar/TRY Trades Flat Around 48.6 TL on Tuesday Morning
Dollar/TRY is trading flat around the 48.6 TL level on Tuesday morning too, following Monday evening's 48.63 TL level.
Ekonomik Takvim | 14-20 September 2026
🇺🇸 16 September 2026, 21.00 (TSİ)
Fed FOMC Interest Rate Decision
The decision following the two-day meeting will be announced at 21.00 (TSİ), with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 21.30 (TSİ).
🇬🇧 17 September 2026, 14.00 (TSİ)
Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate Decision
The decision, to be announced at 12.00 UK time (14.00 TSİ), is expected to keep the rate steady at 3.75%; market pricing points to roughly a one-in-three probability of a 25-basis-point hike.
🇯🇵 18 September 2026 (TSİ afternoon)
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Interest Rate Decision
In the decision to be announced after the two-day meeting, all 52 BoJ watchers surveyed by Bloomberg expect a rate hike.
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