US August CPI Data Released: 0.4% Monthly, 3.4% Annual
The US August Consumer Price Index (CPI), released at 15.30 (TSİ), rose 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year, in line with market expectations. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, came in at 0.3% month-on-month, 0.1 percentage point above forecast, while annual core CPI was 2.4%, in line with expectations.
Fed Rate Hike Odds Settle Near 82% After CPI
According to CME FedWatch, the odds of a Fed rate hike at the 15-16 September meeting rose from around 70% before the CPI data to as high as 90% after the release, before settling near 82%.
Wall Street Rises After CPI, Treasury Yields Pull Back From Highs
Despite the slightly above-forecast core CPI reading, Wall Street saw no sell-off; the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 rose 0.8% after the data. The US 10-Year Treasury Yield eased from its intraday highest level since 2023 of 4.98% to 4.92% after the release, while the US 2-Year Treasury Yield climbed 4.4 basis points to 4.59%.
Gold Recovers After CPI: Around $4,380
Gold (XAU/USD) recovered from an intraday low near $4,300 to close the day up 1.65% at around $4,380; despite rising Fed rate-hike expectations, a pullback in Treasury yields and oil prices supported the metal.
Ekonomik Takvim | 7-13 September 2026
🇺🇸 11 September 2026, 17:00 (TSİ)
Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Preliminary, September)
The final August reading was announced at 51.7; consumer inflation expectations will be closely watched.
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